Philadelphia Phillies vs Minnesota Twins prediction, MLB odds, best bets for 7 23 2024


phillies twins prediction

They have allowed 117 long balls and they yield 4.47 runs per 9 innings (18th in MLB). The Twins hold a team WHIP of 1.174 in addition to having a FIP of 3.83 as a pitching staff this year. Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 9.20 (897 strikeouts vs 248 walks).

Phillies vs Twins Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jul 24

  • We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game.
  • One thing he does very well is get opposing teams to chase pitches off the plate.
  • Nola should go deep into this game, and compete enough for the Phillies to come away with the win.
  • They have recorded 200 doubles, while taking a walk 295 times and putting up 484 runs.
  • Philadelphia’s lineup has withstood injuries to Bryce Harper, Trea Turner, Kyle Schwarber, and JT Realmuto, seemingly not missing a beat.
  • The Twins rank third in the league in wRC+ and wOBA against lefties.
  • If the Phillies can put some runs on the board, and get those extra base hits, they will be able to win this game.
  • He is a perfectly fine pitcher — solid and above-average with a 4.14 ERA and 3.63 xERA.

According to our model, the Twins (+1.5) have a 57% chance of covering the run line, while the over/under total of 8 runs has a 51% chance of staying under. The Twins will have Simeon Woods Richardson (3-1, 3.51 ERA) as their starting pitcher, up against Zack Wheeler (10-4, 2.70 ERA) for the Phillies. If so, check your eligibility for Bet365 bonus code “DIMERS”, which unlocks an $1,150 betting bonus in Pennsylvania for the first time week. A first five innings moneyline is a wager that only takes into account the outcome of a game’s first five innings.

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Minnesota Twins Pick 7/24/24 Game Info

phillies twins prediction

Our independent predictive model currently gives the Phillies a 52% chance of beating the Twins. Based on the latest simulations, Dimers’ advanced MLB model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts the Phillies as the most likely winner of today’s game. This season, the Phillies are against the spread (ATS), while the Twins are ATS. Until Suarez can turn things around, I’m not going to feel confident in backing the Phillies when he starts.

Twins Team Props

They have earned 493 runs scored and have an on-base percentage of .329. As a team, the Philadelphia Phillies are putting up 4.9 runs per outing, which is 4th in MLB. Minnesota will use left-handed reliever Steven Okert as an opener with righty David Festa likely throwing several innings behind him.

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View the odds for each matchup per sportsbook to find the best opportunities. Suarez has still induced a high rate of grounders, but he’ll be in line to face a Twins lineup that has struck out just 11.8% of the time against lefties over the last month. This projected lineup is filled with only righties to go up against Suarez, the lefty. Ober is an above-average pitcher, but the Phillies’ elite lineup is finally back to full strength. Ober is a fly-ball pitcher who allows too many barrels, and Philadelphia should be able to attack his fastball.

  • The Philadelphia Phillies projected batting order ranks as the 4th-strongest of all teams today in terms of overall offensive ability.
  • If the Twins can continue to hit the ball well, they will be able to win this game.
  • They are seventh in batting average, third in slugging percentage, seventh in home runs, and they are top-10 in runs scored.
  • Whether you’re a seasoned bettor or new to the scene, our platform provides all the information you need to place your baseball bets with confidence.
  • The Minnesota pitching staff have conceded 437 runs on the campaign while having a team ERA of 4.13 (403 earned runs allowed).
  • The Twins have been listed as +116 moneyline underdogs for this matchup with the Phillies (-137).

Phillies vs. Twins Prediction, Odds, Picks – July 24

Used primarily in Ireland and the United Kingdom, fractions show the profit you would receive for a successful bet. In fractional odds, the numerator represents how much a bettor stands to win while the denominator indicates the amount of a stake. The odds indicate how much you need to bet and identify which of the two teams is the underdog and favorite.

Philadelphia Phillies vs Minnesota Twins Form

phillies twins prediction

“Our team has analyzed the latest data and conducted 10,000 simulations for Tuesday’s Phillies-Twins game,” said Dimers’ Chief Content Officer, Nick Slade. Our top pick for the Phillies vs. Twins game on Tuesday is to bet on the Twins moneyline (+140). YouBaseball is a passionate sport in which specific outcomes are not always guaranteed. However, phillies twins prediction by conducting research on the factors that can influence the likelihood of making accurate predictions, bettors can seriously maximize their potential returns. The odds on these markets change over the length of the season, depending on how well or poorly the teams are playing. Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks.

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Minnesota needs to have their best offensive game against a very good pitcher in Wheeler. If they scratch across just a few runs, it would be enough to help the Twins win this game. Minnesota was able to shut down the Phillies in game one of this series, but that is not a big surprise.

Twins vs Phillies Moneyline

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call GAMBLER. The Philadelphia Phillies are this year and they have lost four of their last five games. Philadelphia dropped the first game in this series and they allowed seven runs in the loss. Prior to this series, the Phillies lost two out of three against the Pirates, lost two out of three against the Athletics, and swept the Dodgers in three games. Philadelphia is 5-7 in their last 12 games and they are first in the NL East. According to Dimers’ highly regarded predictive analytics model, the Phillies are more likely to defeat the Twins at Target Field.

Minnesota Twins vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction 7-23-24 Picks

The Philadelphia Phillies will look to win the rubber match of the series after evening the set up at one win apiece thanks to a 3-0 win in Tuesday’s matchup. The win gave the Phils a chance to snap a run of back-to-back series losses after falling short against the Pirates and A’s over the last week and a half. The Philadelphia Phillies will send out Aaron Nola for the start here and Nola is 11-4 with a 3.54 ERA and 120 strikeouts this season. The Minnesota Twins did not have a starter announced at the time that this article was posted. The Philadelphia Phillies and the Minnesota Twins meet Wednesday in MLB action from Target Field.

  • Check out my Phillies vs. Twins pick and preview for Monday, July 22, below.
  • Plus, over the last 15 days, the Twins have been awful offensively, ranking 26th in the league in OPS and 28th in runs scored.
  • Against the spread this season, the Phillies are against the Run Line (+3.35 Units / 2.8% ROI).
  • Tony’s Picks disclaims any and all liability with your use of our site as well as any data/information on it.
  • This type of betting is also known as live betting because the moneylines, runlines, total points lines, props and alternate lines will refresh as the game plays out.
  • He does a pretty good job getting hitters to chase, making sure they do not make hard contact, and he keeps his walks down.
  • AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Phillies vs. Twins insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality.

Is baseball easy to predict?

In 421 plate appearances this season, Castellanos is batting .237 with 14 homers, 52 RBIs, and a .697 OPS. The 6’4” right-handed hitter is batting .292 with an OPS of .863 during day games this season. That makes Nick Castellanos worth a look for DFS purposes on Wednesday. Minnesota has called on relievers to enter the game in 44 save opportunities and they have tallied 30 saves.

  • They have been called out on strikes on 787 occasions (23rd in baseball) and have tallied 855 hits.
  • Minnesota cannot keep Royce Lewis and Jose Miranda on the field because they are on the injured list.
  • The Phillies are set up for a good day and Nola will have his hands full taming the Minnesota bats.
  • RHP Tyler Phillips allowed just 4 hits in 6 scoreless innings to pick up the win.

Philadelphia Phillies against Minnesota Twins : Head to Head (H2H)

Best of all, the free $60 account trial comes with our exact same guaranteed just as if you paid real money. For example, if you purchase a $39.95 package that doesn’t profit, you’ll get a $39.95 credit towards any future purchase(s) on our site. Credits are usually issued within hours of a game’s conclusion, so please allow a few hours for final verification. When it comes to his home runs, Byron Buxton has had bad variance on his side this year. His 23.3 HR per 600 plate appearances mark has been considerably lower than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 31.9.

The total set at 8 with the OVER at -120 suggests expectations of a relatively high-scoring game, likely influenced by both teams’ slugging capabilities and recent trends. As good as Suarez has been this season, he has allowed 15 earned runs across his past three starts. His hard-hit rate is starting to increase and he issued seven free passes during the three-start stretch. As good as Suarez has been this season, he has allowed 15 earned runs in his last three starts. The hard hits are starting to rise and he has made seven free throws in three starts.

Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Though anticipated to be the defeated team, underdogs frequently achieve victory. In the top of the 8th inning with two outs, the odds have adjusted to reflect the current score (Diamondbacks are the favorite to win at -270 odds, pre-game odds were -133). Again, for negative numbers, the value of the odds tells you how much you need to wager to win $100. American odds are the most common format used by top U.S. sportsbooks. Odds start with either a minus (-) or a plus (+) and are always a whole number (-135, +150, +250, -325, etc.). Minnesota is in second in the AL Central, sitting five games behind the Cleveland Guardians.

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Minnesota Twins prediction, MLB odds, best bets for 7/23/2024

The Minnesota Twins are on the year after playing the Brewers and Giants. The Minnesota Twins have scored 13 runs in their last 3 games and 4 or more runs in 5 of their last 10 games. The Minnesota Twins have won 9 of their last 12 games when scoring 4 or more runs. Willi Castro leads the Minnesota Twins with 92 hits and 30 RBI while Carlos Correa and Jose Miranda have combined for 189 hits and 90 RBI. The Philadelphia Phillies are on the year after playing the Pirates and Athletics.

Philadelphia has allowed at least five runs in five of their last seven games. The Minnesota pitching staff has a 4.12 ERA, a 1.17 WHIP, and a .235 opponent batting average. The Twins offense has scored 484 runs with a .254 batting average and a .324 on base percentage.

Philadelphia continues to struggle over the last couple of weeks, but they do remain 8.5 games ahead of Atlanta in the NL East standings. Minnesota has been a very streaky team so far this season and they are in a battle with Cleveland and Kansas City in the AL Central. The Twins will start Woods Richardson, who has been very solid for them this year. The Phillies are going with Wheeler, who has been lights out in his last four outings.


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